I see things stirring in Thailand where US authorities have warned of an imminent terrorist attack. It appears this may be Hezbollah linked. Is this evolving threat an Iranian response to recent events, like the recent nuclear physicist assassination? Rather than close the Hormuz straits will they use a Hezbollah proxy to hit back at the west? Operational deniability, but strategic and political effect. It’s unlikely to be just Thailand. If it happens their MO would be a vbied. Hold on to your hats.
Latest reports from Thailand say the arrest led to the recovery of 4,000kg of urea nitrate and 1,500l of liquid ammonium nitrate although it is believed this was in transit to another country. Clearly a major operation or operations was intended. It is approaching the fourth anniversary of the assassination of Hezbollah’s operations chief Imad Mugniyeh (Feb 12) and Hezbollah have yet to have taken the revenge they promised on Israel. Previous killings of Hezbollah leaders have resulted in high profile VBIED attacks.